{"id":40,"date":"2010-04-30T16:26:01","date_gmt":"2010-04-30T20:26:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/?p=40"},"modified":"2010-04-30T16:30:02","modified_gmt":"2010-04-30T20:30:02","slug":"silver-potential","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/?p=40","title":{"rendered":"Gold and Silver Potential"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Yesterday I saw that Silver had a nice positive move taking out short term resistance of $18.61 on the Silver Future to settle at $18.491.\u00c2\u00a0\u00c2\u00a0 This morning it reached $$18.795.\u00c2\u00a0 Our next resistance point $18.927 is from the January high consolidation.\u00c2\u00a0 I have been warning you for months of the potential of the short squeeze and how the gold and silver markets are highly manipulated.\u00c2\u00a0 I have written several articles on how the CFTC has allowed 4 major banks to be short the silver market to the tune of 10 times the annual production.\u00c2\u00a0 Normally, a short is borrowed from someone who owns the asset.\u00c2\u00a0 Naked short is without any asset earmarked at all.\u00c2\u00a0 The gold and silver market shorts are selling imaginary ounces betting the price of silver will go down.\u00c2\u00a0 Central banks have played a key role in trying to keep these prices down.\u00c2\u00a0 A global investor has to think of the reasons that a central bank would want the price of gold and silver under control.<\/p>\n<p>In order to truly discuss the reasons we need to go into some basics on currencies.\u00c2\u00a0 We know that every currency through our entire world history that is not directly tied to gold has failed.\u00c2\u00a0 You may have heard the term fiat currency.\u00c2\u00a0 The more Dollars that get created out of thing air and pushed into the\u00c2\u00a0 market decreases the value of the remaining\u00c2\u00a0 Dollars.\u00c2\u00a0 This is inflationary that it takes more Dollars to buy the same goods.\u00c2\u00a0 The cost of a cup of coffee 10 years ago is much cheaper than the cost today.\u00c2\u00a0 Let alone 50 -100 years ago.\u00c2\u00a0 The Dollar has lost over 92% of its value since the 1800s.\u00c2\u00a0 Once the US went off of the Gold Standard it gave them free reign to produce whatever amount of money they wanted.\u00c2\u00a0 Please keep in mind that no fiat currency has ever survived.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/moneysupply.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-41\" title=\"moneysupply\" src=\"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/moneysupply.jpg\" alt=\"Money Supply\" width=\"700\" height=\"530\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/moneysupply.jpg 700w, http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/moneysupply-300x227.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>As you can see in the chart above, the money supply has grown exponentially.\u00c2\u00a0 Our country has to finance this debt through loans.\u00c2\u00a0 Just like the average household, we have creditors, people willing to loan us money.\u00c2\u00a0 Except they are not people they are countries.\u00c2\u00a0 The two largest countries are China and Japan.\u00c2\u00a0 Two countries that both have fiat currencies as well.<\/p>\n<p>These loans have interest rates that the countries want in return for lending us money.\u00c2\u00a0 As we have seen in Greece over the past week, the investors are demanding higher and higher interest rates because they fear the risk that they will not get paid back is high.\u00c2\u00a0 The US interest rate has remained relatively low even though our debt levels are high, not as high as Greece, but high.<\/p>\n<p>When investors start to fear that the increase in money supply will decrease the value of their money, they flock to something that will hold its value&#8230;gold.\u00c2\u00a0 When money supply increases, this causes inflationary pressure and the countries that finance our debt want a higher interest rates in return.\u00c2\u00a0 They are getting paid back with inflated dollars(less value).\u00c2\u00a0 If the risk of the US defaulting increases, like Greece, then they will want a higher interest rate as well.<\/p>\n<p>Through history the price of goods have remained stable in price only when compared to a gold.\u00c2\u00a0 Gold has increased and decreased in price but it has also been very manipulated.\u00c2\u00a0 The manipulation in gold and the increased demand is starting to create a buzz to own the actual.\u00c2\u00a0 This means that you actually have the gold in your possession.\u00c2\u00a0 There are plenty of stories about when an investor chooses to take delivery it is misplaced.\u00c2\u00a0 There is a reason that China and India have recently(within the past 6 months) made huge purchases of the actual and demanded delivery.<\/p>\n<p>So why have the central banks wanted to keep the lid on Gold and Silver?\u00c2\u00a0 If the price of Gold and Silver increase it is because investors are looking for a safe asset to protect against inflation.\u00c2\u00a0 If central banks are constantly telling you that there is no inflation as seen in their government statistics and gold is stable, will you believe them?\u00c2\u00a0 If they push out the stats with no change and gold is consistently making new highs then maybe you will take a second look at their numbers.\u00c2\u00a0 Maybe the flight to safety guys are seeing something that you have missed?\u00c2\u00a0 Maybe interest rates are about to or already are spiking.\u00c2\u00a0 If rates spike it is because of inflationary pressure.\u00c2\u00a0 Inflationary pressure causes gold to increase.\u00c2\u00a0 We have seen US rates at near zero for over a year and we know that these rates can not stay at zero forever.\u00c2\u00a0 We have seen some short term spikes in the US Notes and Bonds of different durations.<\/p>\n<p>If foreign investors start to demand higher interest rates to buy the ever increasing amount of the US debt through Notes and Bonds, then we will see several major problems that stem from higher interest rates.\u00c2\u00a0 The mortgage and housing market will collapse even further.\u00c2\u00a0 Spikes in mortgage rates could cause less homes to be purchased and higher foreclosure rates because of the amount of adjustable mortgages that would be reset to a higher interest rate.\u00c2\u00a0 Higher rates means it costs more to fund out debt. Our national debt will be out of control and the most logical result for the 50% of the US population that actually pay taxes will be higher taxes.<\/p>\n<p>Every investor should be concerned about the future of our country.\u00c2\u00a0 There is a reason that the M3, a money supply statistic is no longer calculated by our government.\u00c2\u00a0 There are only so many tricks in statistics before the truth reveals itself.\u00c2\u00a0 That chart shows the current path of our money supplies and it is not predicted to decrease any time soon.\u00c2\u00a0 What happens to our country when the money supply stops increasing? Are we at a point in our country that we need to keep the money supply increasing just to offset the destruction of wealth from the bubbles that the money supply has created.<\/p>\n<p>Never before has the world economies been so tightly entangled.\u00c2\u00a0 In the 1950&#8217;s we did not invest in communist China.\u00c2\u00a0 Now we are dependent on them to buy our debt.\u00c2\u00a0 They have their own debt problems along with Japan.\u00c2\u00a0 How long can the charade keep going?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/goldprices.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-42\" title=\"goldprices\" src=\"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/goldprices.jpg\" alt=\"Gold Price vs Market\" width=\"700\" height=\"397\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/goldprices.jpg 700w, http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/goldprices-300x170.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Central banks need to keep gold down so it does not become a mania.\u00c2\u00a0 For the most part the average investor is blind to the economy.\u00c2\u00a0 Head in the sand as they go through life.\u00c2\u00a0 Job, marriage, kids, basic nightly nightly news of local dramas, a house with mortgage and credit card debt.\u00c2\u00a0 They pay their taxes like a good little soldier.\u00c2\u00a0 They read the local paper and never grasp what it truly going in the rest of the world or our economy.\u00c2\u00a0 All mainstream media is bought and paid for so our average Joe never gets the real picture.\u00c2\u00a0 That is why the majority of people lose their shirts in these bubbles.<\/p>\n<p>They are taught to invest for the long term, but when a market goes from 14,000 to 6,400 back to 11,000 they should look at as a gift from the stock market gods.\u00c2\u00a0 They must realize that the market can not and will not go straight back to the top even though that is what the big institutions, central banks, and governments are asking.\u00c2\u00a0 They want everyone to buy in again so they can unload to someone.<\/p>\n<p>I encourage everyone to protect themselves by protecting your portfolio.\u00c2\u00a0 That means understand your risk in everything you own.\u00c2\u00a0 Buy some gold and silver for the long term.\u00c2\u00a0 Right now the price is manipulated.\u00c2\u00a0 JP Morgan is short 80% of the total short silver market.\u00c2\u00a0 Rumor is they are acting as a proxy for a central bank.\u00c2\u00a0 If the central bank can produce money at will, then they don&#8217;t care how much they lose.\u00c2\u00a0 A spike in silver or gold will have the world looking at inflation in a whole new light.\u00c2\u00a0 It will spark more metal buying and interest rates will jump causing higher costs for anyone who has debts.\u00c2\u00a0 This will put a global halt to any recovery.<\/p>\n<p>There is huge potential if the central banks can&#8217;t stop the buying or any major fund demands the actual delivery.\u00c2\u00a0 It is important to have some actual on hand.\u00c2\u00a0 When the curtain falls and the system fails, you want to make sure you still own something of value.\u00c2\u00a0 Stocks are just pieces of paper or IOUs do not pay the bills.\u00c2\u00a0 When you go to sell them they could be worth half the price you paid for them.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yesterday I saw that Silver had a nice positive move taking out short term resistance of $18.61 on the Silver Future to settle at $18.491.\u00c2\u00a0\u00c2\u00a0 This morning it reached $$18.795.\u00c2\u00a0 Our next resistance point $18.927 is from the January high consolidation.\u00c2\u00a0 I have been warning you for months of the potential of the short squeeze [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[20,33,22,29,30,25,18,32,17,34,35,31,9,28],"class_list":["post-40","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-commentary","tag-banks","tag-debt","tag-economy","tag-euro","tag-gold","tag-greece","tag-institutions","tag-interest-rates","tag-market","tag-money","tag-money-supply","tag-silver","tag-stocks","tag-usd"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=40"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=40"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=40"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.cheapiv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=40"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}